Paul Oberjuerge header image 2

Usain Bolt: What Time Would the World’s Fastest Human Post in a Mile?

August 2nd, 2016 · No Comments · Olympics

This is one of those amusing barroom-type arguments, except this one has comment from experts.

Usain Bolt, the world’s fastest human, record holder in both the 100 meters and 200 meters …

Would he be any good in the mile?

Could he keep up a fraction of his momentum from a 200-meter run and still be moving along quickly while finishing the 1,609 meters that comprise the mile?

We have no idea. And why is that?

Because his agent, Ricky Simms, told The New Yorker Bolt has never run a mile. Not once. Not in his life.

So it is all conjecture, which is more fun because it isn’t weighed down by facts.

Bolt is back in the news this week because he has arrived in Brazil with the Jamaica Olympic team, and his expressed goal is completing a “triple-triple” at Rio 2016 — gold in the 100, 200 and 4×100 relay for the third time.

He won gold in all three events at both Beijing 2008 and London 2012.

So, The New Yorker talked to experts in track and field and the consensus seems to be this:

Bolt would come nowhere near to the world record of 3 minutes, 43.13 seconds, set by Hicham El Guerrouj of Morocco in 1999.

The question then becomes … how close could Bolt come to that record?

The New Yorker has found those who insist Bolt would be lucky to break five minutes, and might even need six minutes to do a mile.

Robert Johnson, a running blogger, says Bolt would be nothing special in the mile.

“He’s a total fast-twitch-muscle-fiber guy. To expect Bolt to be good at the mile simply because he is the world’s greatest sprinter would be like expecting a great 320-pound NFL offensive lineman to be good at playing running back simply because he’s a great football player. It’s ludicrous.”

Johnson said he is very confident Bolt would not break five minutes. “If [five minutes] that was the over/under, I’d mortgage my nonexistent house to try to bet up to six figures he was over that.”

Then comes the science of training for a short distance versus middle-distance training. Plus, Bolt’s weight (207 pounds) and height (6-foot-5) seem to suggest he would have trouble. No elite distance runners are remotely that big. None.

But some remain convinced that Bolt, if he trained for the longer distance, would become fairly quick at it. Perhaps as quick as 3:55, and a sub-four-minute mile is still more than a little unusual.

The thinking is that if the world’s best decathlete, Ashton Eaton, can run a 4:14 1,500 meters (which would make about a 4:34 mile) in the final event of the two-day grind of the decathlon … Bolt could do 4:20, a time achieved by several American high schoolers each year.

Zebulon Lang, a track coach at Cornell University, said: “I’m happy to go on record that I believe Bolt could run a mile in 4:20 right now,” suggesting the world’s best sprinter could do a mile as well as a good high school kid.

Anyway, it’s an interesting discussion. Maybe in the same vein as the “man versus horse for 100 meters” — which horses tend to win.

Maybe find two or three prep milers and let them race against Bolt. We can imagine the latter popping out to a huge lead, but then he would have to hang on, presumably, to hold off the kids who have trained at a middle distance for years. A real hare-and-tortoise kind of thing.

I would watch that.

Tags:

0 responses so far ↓

  • There are no comments yet...Kick things off by filling out the form below.

Leave a Comment